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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 54.56%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 24.61% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.79%) and 1-3 (6.63%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
24.61% ( 0.04) | 20.82% ( -0.05) | 54.56% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 65.87% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.97% ( 0.28) | 32.03% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.4% ( 0.32) | 53.6% ( -0.32) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.81% ( 0.18) | 25.18% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.09% ( 0.25) | 59.91% ( -0.25) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.04% ( 0.09) | 11.96% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.64% ( 0.2) | 37.35% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.08% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.32% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 24.61% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.43% Total : 20.82% | 1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 6.63% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.55% 2-4 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.08% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 54.56% |
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