SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
40.98% ( 2.83) | 24.67% ( -0.02) | 34.35% ( -2.82) |
| Both teams to score 58.58% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.55% ( -0.27) | 44.44% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.18% ( -0.26) | 66.82% ( 0.26) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.29% ( 1.29) | 21.71% ( -1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.14% ( 1.93) | 54.86% ( -1.93) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( -1.69) | 25.18% ( 1.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.09% ( -2.38) | 59.91% ( 2.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.41)2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.54)3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.34)3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.39)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.98% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.39) 0-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.47)1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.37)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.35)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.2)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.35% |
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