SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Manchester United | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Liverpool | 4 | 8 | 5 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Brentford | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Newcastle United | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Manchester United | 4 | -3 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 77.1%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 9.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Liverpool in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Newcastle United |
77.1% ( -0.52) | 13.88% ( 0.32) | 9.03% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 54.46% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.57% ( -0.93) | 29.44% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.49% ( -1.14) | 50.51% ( 1.15) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.79% ( -0.29) | 6.21% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.53% ( -0.81) | 23.47% ( 0.82) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.06% ( -0.28) | 41.94% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.62% ( -0.24) | 78.38% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.07)6-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.08)6-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.4% Total : 77.09% | 1-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 13.88% | 1-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)0-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.95% Total : 9.03% |
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