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MU
Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 22, 2022 at 8pm UK
Old Trafford
LL

Man Utd
2 - 1
Liverpool

Sancho (16'), Rashford (53')
Varane (27'), Dalot (45'), Fernandes (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Manchester United 2-2 Liverpool

Liverpool will undoubtedly be the favourites heading into Monday's encounter, and it would certainly not be a surprise to see the Merseyside giants secure all three points. Man United will have had a long time to prepare for this match, though, and we just have a feeling that the Red Devils, cheered on by a vocal home crowd, will be able to secure a share of the spoils at Old Trafford. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.37%) and 0-1 (7.32%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawLiverpool
24.49% (-0.029 -0.03) 21.53% (0.044 0.04) 53.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 63.05% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.35% (-0.25 -0.25)35.64% (0.247 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.3% (-0.275 -0.27)57.7% (0.274 0.27)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75% (-0.15599999999999 -0.16)27.24% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.33% (-0.204 -0.2)62.67% (0.203 0.2)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.66% (-0.089999999999989 -0.09)13.33% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.79% (-0.18 -0.18)40.2% (0.179 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 24.49%
    Liverpool 53.98%
    Draw 21.53%
Manchester UnitedDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 6.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 4.72% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.07% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 24.49%
1-1 @ 9.52% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.23% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.63% (0.045 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.53%
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.37% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.32% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 6.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.95% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.19% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 3.24% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.49% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-4 @ 2.11% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
3-4 @ 0.91% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 53.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brentford 4-0 Man Utd
Saturday, August 13 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-2 Brighton
Sunday, August 7 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, July 31 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Atletico
Saturday, July 30 at 12.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Man Utd 2-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, July 23 at 10.45am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Man Utd 3-1 Crystal Palace
Tuesday, July 19 at 11.10am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Crystal Palace
Monday, August 15 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 2-2 Liverpool
Saturday, August 6 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 0-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, July 31 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield
Last Game: Salzburg 1-0 Liverpool
Wednesday, July 27 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-5 Liverpool
Thursday, July 21 at 6.15pm in Club Friendlies 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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