SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Rio Ave |
56.94% ( 0.09) | 22.56% ( -0.05) | 20.49% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.89% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.78% ( 0.17) | 45.21% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.44% ( 0.16) | 67.55% ( -0.16) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.34% ( 0.09) | 15.65% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.32% ( 0.17) | 44.67% ( -0.17) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.89% ( 0.05) | 36.1% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.11% ( 0.05) | 72.88% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 56.93% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.56% | 0-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.49% |
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