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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
P

Rio Ave
1 - 2
Porto

Costinha (52' pen.)
Aderlan (16'), Oudrhiri (32'), Sa (56'), Pantalon (62'), Freire (77+77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Galeno (90+1' pen.), Marcano (90+4')
Gonzalez (20'), Wendell (68'), Loader (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 2-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, August 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Farense
Sunday, August 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Rio Ave 1-2 Porto

Porto have started the season very well and are one of just four sides that have a 100% win record after the first two matchdays. They will want to take the lead in the league at the soonest and we expect them to secure the points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 50.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Rio AveDrawPorto
23.6% (0.117 0.12) 25.82% (0.13 0.13) 50.58% (-0.245 -0.24)
Both teams to score 48% (-0.242 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.97% (-0.381 -0.38)55.03% (0.384 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.7% (-0.315 -0.31)76.3% (0.319 0.32)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.39% (-0.102 -0.1)38.61% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.65% (-0.096 -0.1)75.36% (0.101 0.1)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (-0.261 -0.26)21.8% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.99% (-0.401 -0.4)55.01% (0.405 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 23.6%
    Porto 50.57%
    Draw 25.82%
Rio AveDrawPorto
1-0 @ 8.01% (0.095999999999999 0.1)
2-1 @ 5.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.81% (0.035 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.84% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 23.6%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.42% (0.125 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 12.82% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 9.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.96% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.72% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.89% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.8% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 50.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Estoril 2-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, August 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-0 Chaves
Sunday, August 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 2-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, July 30 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 3-0 Viseu
Saturday, July 22 at 11am in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-2 Famalicao
Friday, May 26 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 3-1 Rio Ave
Sunday, May 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Farense
Sunday, August 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-2 Porto
Monday, August 14 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Porto
Wednesday, August 9 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup
Last Game: Porto 0-1 Wolves
Tuesday, July 25 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Porto 4-0 Cardiff
Saturday, July 22 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Braga 0-2 Porto
Sunday, June 4 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal


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