SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
29.37% ( 0.13) | 28.26% ( 0.03) | 42.37% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 45.52% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.64% ( -0.05) | 60.36% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.49% ( -0.03) | 80.51% ( 0.04) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.37% ( 0.07) | 36.63% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.58% ( 0.07) | 73.42% ( -0.07) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% ( -0.1) | 28.17% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.15% ( -0.13) | 63.85% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 29.37% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.25% | 0-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 42.37% |
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