SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 14.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.4%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Porto |
14.09% ( -0.09) | 20.82% ( -0.1) | 65.09% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 46.52% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.59% ( 0.23) | 48.41% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.45% ( 0.21) | 70.55% ( -0.21) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.16% ( 0) | 45.83% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.41% ( 0) | 81.59% ( 0) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.9% ( 0.13) | 14.1% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.28% ( 0.26) | 41.72% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1% ( -0)3-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.24% Total : 14.09% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0)Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.82% | 0-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 12.4% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0)0-3 @ 8.1% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.32% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 3.97% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 65.09% |
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