While Chaves will look to maintain their solid run of results, they take on a Porto side who will be looking to make an immediate positive response to their Champions League defeat. The Dragoes have turned their home ground into a fortress, winning each of their last 12 games in front of their fans, and we are backing them to continue in the same vein and extend their dominance over the visitors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 80.1%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 6.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.05%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.14%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
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