SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 21.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
55.68% ( 0.26) | 22.88% ( -0.1) | 21.44% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.27% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.6% ( 0.23) | 45.4% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.27% ( 0.22) | 67.73% ( -0.22) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.86% ( 0.17) | 16.15% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.42% ( 0.31) | 45.59% ( -0.32) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.72% ( -0.02) | 35.28% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.97% ( -0.02) | 72.04% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 55.67% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.88% | 0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 21.44% |
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