SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.78%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Al Shamal |
49.27% ( -0.35) | 22.16% ( 0.07) | 28.57% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 64.77% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.92% ( -0.17) | 35.07% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.93% ( -0.18) | 57.07% ( 0.18) |
| Al Gharafa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.35% ( -0.18) | 14.64% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.22% ( -0.34) | 42.77% ( 0.33) |
| Al Shamal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( 0.09) | 24.11% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.59% ( 0.13) | 58.41% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Al Shamal |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.43% Total : 49.27% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.16% | 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 28.57% |
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