SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Rayyan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Umm Salal | Draw | Al-Rayyan |
31.86% ( -0.33) | 23.87% ( 0.07) | 44.26% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 60.54% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.5% ( -0.48) | 41.5% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.1% ( -0.48) | 63.89% ( 0.48) |
| Umm Salal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.74% ( -0.43) | 25.25% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.99% ( -0.6) | 60% ( 0.59) |
| Al-Rayyan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.99% ( -0.08) | 19% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.44% ( -0.13) | 50.56% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Umm Salal | Draw | Al-Rayyan |
| 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.86% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.35% Total : 44.26% |
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