SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 54.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
54.81% ( -0.75) | 23.93% ( 0.25) | 21.25% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 50.69% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.97% ( -0.45) | 50.03% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.99% ( -0.4) | 72.01% ( 0.4) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.86% ( -0.45) | 18.13% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.9% ( -0.77) | 49.1% ( 0.76) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.92% ( 0.26) | 38.08% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.16% ( 0.25) | 74.84% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.37% Total : 54.8% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.93% | 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.55% Total : 21.25% |
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