SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 66.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 14.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Dynamo Moscow win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
66.36% ( 0.31) | 19.36% ( -0.13) | 14.28% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 51.81% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.38% ( 0.18) | 41.62% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.98% ( 0.18) | 64.02% ( -0.18) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.33% ( 0.14) | 11.67% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.26% ( 0.29) | 36.74% ( -0.29) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.66% ( -0.15) | 41.34% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.14% ( -0.13) | 77.85% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 2-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.72% Total : 66.35% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.36% | 0-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.63% Total : 14.28% |
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