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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 86.87%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 3.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 4-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.38%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (1.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
86.87% ( 1.47) | 9.23% ( -0.89) | 3.9% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 41.51% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.57% ( 1.67) | 28.43% ( -1.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.73% ( 2.03) | 49.27% ( -2.03) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.67% ( 0.54) | 4.34% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.05% ( 1.65) | 17.95% ( -1.64) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.39% ( -1.09) | 56.61% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.18% ( -0.63) | 88.82% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
| 3-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 12.08% ( -0.26)4-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.52)1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.47)3-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.39)5-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.55)4-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.2)6-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.4)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.11)6-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)7-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.23)5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.8% Total : 86.86% | 1-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.43) 0-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.43% Total : 9.23% | 0-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.17)Other @ 1.26% Total : 3.9% |
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