Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
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