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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
41.06% ( 0.02) | 26.13% ( 0.17) | 32.81% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.76% ( -0.76) | 51.24% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.92% ( -0.67) | 73.07% ( 0.67) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.35% ( -0.33) | 24.65% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.83% ( -0.47) | 59.16% ( 0.46) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.58% ( -0.5) | 29.42% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.58% ( -0.62) | 65.41% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 41.05% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.81% |
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