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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Annan Athletic |
45.06% ( 4.67) | 24.91% ( -0.58) | 30.03% ( -4.09) |
| Both teams to score 56% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.96% ( 1.17) | 47.04% ( -1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.72% ( 1.08) | 69.28% ( -1.08) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.08% ( 2.71) | 20.92% ( -2.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.35% ( 4.08) | 53.65% ( -4.08) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.82% ( -2.07) | 29.18% ( 2.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.88% ( -2.62) | 65.12% ( 2.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.5)2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.8)3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.62)3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.69)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.23)4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.37)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.37)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.64% Total : 45.06% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.85) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.63)0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.83)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.45)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.47)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.03% |
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