SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 54.03%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 23.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Montrose |
54.03% ( 0.03) | 22.84% ( -0.01) | 23.12% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.69% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.72% ( 0.01) | 43.27% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.33% ( 0.01) | 65.67% ( -0.02) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.04% ( 0.01) | 15.96% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.75% ( 0.03) | 45.25% ( -0.03) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.45% ( -0.01) | 32.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.92% ( -0.01) | 69.08% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.75% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.35% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 54.03% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.84% | 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.27% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 23.12% |
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