SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 79.6%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 7.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.86%), while for a Hibernian win it was 1-2 (2.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Hibernian |
79.6% ( -0.22) | 12.78% ( 0.12) | 7.61% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.07% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.97% ( -0.2) | 29.03% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.99% ( -0.25) | 50.01% ( 0.25) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.32% ( -0.08) | 5.68% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.03% ( -0.23) | 21.97% ( 0.23) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.2% ( 0.1) | 44.79% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.23% ( 0.08) | 80.77% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Hibernian |
| 2-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 10% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 8.04% 1-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.62% Total : 79.59% | 1-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.03)Other @ 1% Total : 12.78% | 1-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 7.61% |
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