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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 73.13%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 11.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 3-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | St Mirren |
73.13% ( 0.16) | 15.59% ( -0.08) | 11.27% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.64% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.03% ( 0.17) | 30.97% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.64% ( 0.21) | 52.35% ( -0.21) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.69% ( 0.07) | 7.31% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.58% ( 0.19) | 26.42% ( -0.19) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.11% ( -0.01) | 38.89% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.38% ( -0) | 75.62% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | St Mirren |
| 2-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.84% Total : 73.13% | 1-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 15.59% | 1-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 11.27% |
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