SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hibernian in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
46.61% ( -0.02) | 24.98% ( -0) | 28.41% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.73% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.76% ( 0.03) | 48.24% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.61% ( 0.03) | 70.39% ( -0.03) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.27% ( 0) | 20.74% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.64% ( 0.01) | 53.36% ( -0) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.05% ( 0.03) | 30.95% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.75% ( 0.04) | 67.25% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.61% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.53% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.41% |
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