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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 16
Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
LL

Dundee
1 - 0
Livingston

McCowan (57')
Shaughnessy (6'), McCowan (12')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lloyd (47'), Kelly (56'), Nottingham (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee 0-5 Rangers
Wednesday, November 1 at 8.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 1-0 Livingston
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Dundee 0-0 Livingston

Both sides are among the lowest scorers in the division, with neither yet in double figures, and another drab affair could be on the cards after both were well below par in midweek. The reverse fixture last weekend was looking certain to end 0-0 until Montano's late red card changed everything, leading to Shaughnessy's two late goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 19.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundee in this match.

Result
DundeeDrawLivingston
58.84% (0.411 0.41) 21.89% (0.226 0.23) 19.27% (-0.637 -0.64)
Both teams to score 54.08% (-1.864 -1.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.02% (-1.945 -1.95)43.97% (1.944 1.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.64% (-1.924 -1.92)66.36% (1.924 1.92)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.39% (-0.515 -0.52)14.61% (0.516 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.29% (-1.001 -1)42.71% (1 1)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.34% (-1.79 -1.79)36.66% (1.789 1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.55% (-1.84 -1.84)73.45% (1.84 1.84)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 58.84%
    Livingston 19.27%
    Draw 21.88%
DundeeDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 10.3% (0.67 0.67)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.91% (0.473 0.47)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 6.35% (0.191 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.222 -0.22)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-0 @ 3.06% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.137 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.067 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 58.84%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.36% (0.441 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.248 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.88%
0-1 @ 5.37% (0.196 0.2)
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 0.9% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 19.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dundee 0-5 Rangers
Wednesday, November 1 at 8.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 0-2 Dundee
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 0-0 Ross County
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 0-0 Dundee
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 2-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 3-0 Dundee
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 1-0 Livingston
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 0-2 Dundee
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 3-1 Livingston
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 2-0 Motherwell
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-1 Livingston
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 4-0 Livingston
Wednesday, September 27 at 8pm in Scottish League Cup


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