SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Dundee |
37.5% ( 0.07) | 27.45% ( -0.02) | 35.04% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 49.42% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.79% ( 0.06) | 56.21% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.74% ( 0.05) | 77.26% ( -0.05) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.06% ( 0.07) | 28.94% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.18% ( 0.09) | 64.82% ( -0.09) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.55% ( -0.01) | 30.45% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.34% ( -0.01) | 66.66% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Dundee |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.5% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.03% |
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