SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Celtic |
26.61% ( -0.1) | 24.61% ( 0.02) | 48.78% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.55% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.17% ( -0.15) | 47.84% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.98% ( -0.14) | 70.02% ( 0.14) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.89% ( -0.16) | 32.11% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.41% ( -0.18) | 68.59% ( 0.19) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.35% ( -0.02) | 19.65% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.37% ( -0.04) | 51.63% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 26.61% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 48.78% |
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