SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
46.89% ( 0.06) | 25.29% ( -0.04) | 27.82% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.31% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.1% ( 0.17) | 49.9% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.11% ( 0.16) | 71.89% ( -0.15) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( 0.1) | 21.3% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.76% ( 0.15) | 54.24% ( -0.15) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.74% ( 0.08) | 32.26% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.25% ( 0.09) | 68.75% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 46.88% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.64% Total : 27.82% |
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