SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hibernian in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hibernian.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Hibernian |
35.34% ( 0.03) | 26.11% ( 0.04) | 38.55% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.78% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.29% ( -0.15) | 50.7% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.39% ( -0.14) | 72.6% ( 0.13) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.42% ( -0.06) | 27.57% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.9% ( -0.07) | 63.1% ( 0.07) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% ( -0.11) | 25.73% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.33% ( -0.15) | 60.66% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 35.34% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.54% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.55% |
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