Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
53.26% ( 0.49) | 24.42% ( -0.17) | 22.32% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 50.64% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.19% ( 0.35) | 50.81% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.3% ( 0.31) | 72.7% ( -0.3) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.98% ( 0.33) | 19.02% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.41% ( 0.54) | 50.59% ( -0.54) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.54% ( -0.11) | 37.47% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.75% ( -0.11) | 74.25% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 53.25% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.42% | 0-1 @ 7% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.65% Total : 22.32% |
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