Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 53.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 18.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.2%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Granada in this match.
0.19) 
-0.16) 
