Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levante win with a probability of 52.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levante win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Levante in this match.
0.91) 
-0.34) 
