Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levante win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Granada had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levante win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Levante would win this match.
0.14) 
-0.16) 
