Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levante win with a probability of 65.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 12.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levante win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.88%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Levante would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.02) 
