Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.69%) and 1-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 (12.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Gijon	Draw	Real Zaragoza
31.42% ( -0.05)	29.93% ( -0.05)	38.65% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 41.88% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.8% (

0.14)

65.2% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.97% (

0.1)

84.03% (

-0.09)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.29% (

0.04)

37.71% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.51% (

0.04)

74.49% (

-0.04)

Real Zaragoza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.24% (

0.13)

32.76% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.68% (

0.15)

69.32% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Sporting Gijon 31.41%

Real Zaragoza 38.64%

Draw 29.92%

Sporting Gijon	Draw	Real Zaragoza
1-0 @ 12.04% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.56% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.13% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 31.41%	1-1 @ 13.44% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.92%	0-1 @ 13.78% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 38.64%