Having returned to winning ways in Europe on Thursday, Atalanta are due a Serie A victory after four matches without one, with Gasperini's willingness to freshen his side possibly proving pivotal in Sunday's fixture.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%).
0.33) 
-0.53) 
