La Dea have not won in five in all competitions, suffering two defeats in that period, thus giving Sporting the confidence to end their winless run against Italian clubs.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match.
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