While Atalanta seldom lose in this competition, Sporting are in superior form, and that momentum should see them record a marginal victory in Lisbon on Wednesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 13.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 1-2 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.