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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
CL

Lazio
1 - 0
Cagliari

Immobile (61')
Correa (69'), Inzaghi (87'), Parolo (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nandez (31'), Pedro (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 66.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 14.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawCagliari
66.77%18.84%14.39%
Both teams to score 53.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.04%38.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.72%61.28%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.2%10.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.16%34.84%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.49%39.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.8%76.2%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 66.76%
    Cagliari 14.39%
    Draw 18.84%
LazioDrawCagliari
2-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 9.82%
1-0 @ 9.5%
3-0 @ 7.84%
3-1 @ 7.28%
4-0 @ 4.36%
4-1 @ 4.05%
3-2 @ 3.38%
5-0 @ 1.94%
4-2 @ 1.88%
5-1 @ 1.8%
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 66.76%
1-1 @ 8.82%
2-2 @ 4.56%
0-0 @ 4.27%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.84%
1-2 @ 4.1%
0-1 @ 3.96%
0-2 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.41%
1-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 14.39%

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