Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 67.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 12.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Ternana win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
-0.61) 
0.4) 
