Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 55.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Lecco win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
