Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Modena had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
-0.64) 
0.17) 
