Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 57.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
2.35) 
-0.51) 
