The home side historically struggles against Antalyaspor, but their recent win could boost morale. The visitors have found it difficult on the road and have lost four of the last five. We expect a close match, with a draw being the likely outcome here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Antalyaspor win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
0.1) 
-0.18) 
