SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Antalyaspor win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Istanbul Basaksehir in this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Antalyaspor |
46.88% ( 0.12) | 24.84% ( -0.01) | 28.28% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.29% ( -0.03) | 47.71% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.1% ( -0.03) | 69.9% ( 0.03) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.59% ( 0.04) | 20.41% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.16% ( 0.06) | 52.84% ( -0.06) |
| Antalyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.23% ( -0.09) | 30.77% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.96% ( -0.11) | 67.04% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Antalyaspor |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.88% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 28.28% |
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