SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 20.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Kayserispor |
56.63% ( 0.13) | 22.85% ( -0.07) | 20.51% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.99% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.56% ( 0.22) | 46.44% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.28% ( 0.21) | 68.72% ( -0.21) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.82% ( 0.13) | 16.18% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.34% ( 0.23) | 45.66% ( -0.23) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.22% ( 0.06) | 36.78% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.43% ( 0.06) | 73.57% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Kayserispor |
| 1-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 56.63% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.85% | 0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 1.71% Total : 20.51% |
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