Mafra have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks and will look to cause an upset on Tuesday. However, given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing a rotated Porto side to claim a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.37%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Mafra had a probability of 8.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.12%) and 0-3 (10.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Mafra win it was 1-0 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Mafra	Draw	Porto
8.74%	15.89%	75.37%

Both teams to score 44.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.14%

40.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.75%

63.25%

Mafra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.3%

50.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.86%

85.14%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.8%

9.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.86%

31.13%

Score Analysis

Mafra 8.74%

Porto 75.36%

Draw 15.89%

Mafra	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 3.17% 2-1 @ 2.57% 2-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.93% Total : 8.74%	1-1 @ 7.56% 0-0 @ 4.66% 2-2 @ 3.06% Other @ 0.61% Total : 15.89%	0-2 @ 13.27% 0-1 @ 11.12% 0-3 @ 10.56% 1-2 @ 9.02% 1-3 @ 7.17% 0-4 @ 6.3% 1-4 @ 4.28% 0-5 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-5 @ 2.04% 2-4 @ 1.45% 0-6 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.5% Total : 75.36%