Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chornomorets Odesa win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for Metal Kharkiv had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Metal Kharkiv win was 1-0 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chornomorets Odesa would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
