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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Mar 4, 2023 at 12.45pm UK
Estadio Centenario
D

Torque
0 - 3
Defensor


Petryk (48')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ferrari (13' pen.), Abaldo (18'), Balboa (78')
Pintado (28'), de los Santos (34'), Rocha (48'), Freitas (73')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo City Torque and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: La Luz 1-1 Torque
Monday, February 27 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 2-2 Penarol
Saturday, February 25 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 46.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.23%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Montevideo City Torque win it was 1-0 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.

Result
Montevideo City TorqueDrawDefensor Sporting
26.07% (-0.22 -0.22) 27.67% (0.026 0.03) 46.25% (0.197 0.2)
Both teams to score 45.13% (-0.223 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.13% (-0.202 -0.2)59.87% (0.204 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.86% (-0.155 -0.16)80.14% (0.15700000000001 0.16)
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.92% (-0.304 -0.3)39.08% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.2% (-0.289 -0.29)75.8% (0.29000000000001 0.29)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (0.0049999999999955 0)25.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.1% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)60.9% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Montevideo City Torque 26.07%
    Defensor Sporting 46.25%
    Draw 27.66%
Montevideo City TorqueDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.04% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.47% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.89% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 26.07%
1-1 @ 12.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.12% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 13.67% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 9.23% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.16% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.4% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 46.25%

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Form Guide
Last Game: La Luz 1-1 Torque
Monday, February 27 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Torque 0-1 Wanderers
Monday, February 20 at 11.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 1-2 Torque
Saturday, February 11 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Torque 1-1 Danubio
Sunday, February 5 at 9pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Torque
Friday, October 21 at 7.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Torque 0-2 Boston River
Monday, October 17 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 2-2 Penarol
Saturday, February 25 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 1-0 La Luz
Sunday, February 19 at 9pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 1-1 Defensor
Monday, February 13 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 1-3 Fenix
Tuesday, February 7 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 1-2 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, January 14 at 9.15pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Defensor 2-3 Rentistas
Saturday, October 22 at 8.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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