SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ghana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Egypt | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 69.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 9.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.8%) and 3-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.13%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ghana in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ghana.
| Result | ||
| Ghana | Draw | Madagascar |
69.48% ( -1.21) | 20.69% ( 0.59) | 9.83% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 34.89% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.87% ( -0.57) | 57.14% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22% ( -0.45) | 78.01% ( 0.46) |
| Ghana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.45% ( -0.57) | 15.56% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.5% ( -1.09) | 44.5% ( 1.09) |
| Madagascar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.31% ( 0.96) | 58.69% ( -0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.04% ( 0.51) | 89.97% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ghana | Draw | Madagascar |
| 1-0 @ 16.98% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 15.8% ( -0.3)3-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.39)2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.28)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.26% Total : 69.47% | 0-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.2) 1-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.69% | 0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.26% Total : 9.83% |
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