SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mali | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | South Africa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Namibia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 12.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.87%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Namibia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Tome & Principe | Draw | Namibia |
12.04% ( 0.74) | 20.64% ( 0.67) | 67.32% ( -1.41) |
| Both teams to score 41.58% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.01% ( -0.9) | 51.99% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.27% ( -0.78) | 73.73% ( 0.78) |
| Sao Tome & Principe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.67% ( 0.76) | 51.33% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.43% ( 0.5) | 85.57% ( -0.5) |
| Namibia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.45% ( -0.72) | 14.56% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.39% ( -1.41) | 42.61% ( 1.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sao Tome & Principe | Draw | Namibia |
| 1-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.2% Total : 12.04% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.48% Total : 20.64% | 0-1 @ 14.4% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 13.87% ( -0.22)1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 8.91% ( -0.38)1-3 @ 5.94% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 4.3% ( -0.3)1-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.66% ( -0.16)1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.08% Total : 67.32% |
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