Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 56.37%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 22.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.27%) and 0-1 (8.25%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 2-1 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.